Do we at this point have any substantial data on just how many users Reddit actually lost due to this?
Any resources would be greatly appreciated.
As a sidenote, I’ll add that they certainly lost my account the second I couldn’t use RiF anymore.
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No real way to tell, but I don’t think it would be immediately noticeable on Reddit. Like the satisfying “we killed reddit” probably isn’t going to happen. On the other hand, being here clearly have discoverd the Fediverse as replacement, so IMO it doesn’t matter what happens to Reddit now. (Not to say the drama/any issues Reddit ends up with won’t be endlessly entertaining)
I definitely think getting interested in the fediverse is a long game. Think the death of Facebook. It was a slow burn between 2016 and 2020, involving lots of different communities moving at different times for different reasons
But…Facebook isn’t dead. I mean it’s dead to me, but it’s still going quite strong.
Exactly. Whether or not Facebook or Reddit or Netflix or Twitter survive, thrive, or perish is irrelevant to me.
What matters is that they won’t profit off my data, they won’t sell any ads from my activity, and they won’t get a penny more of subscription money out of me.
If others wish to continue diving down those rabbit holes, that’s on them.
Really? Feels like a graveyard when I log in. I mean everyone over 65 still uses it and there are a lot of weird holdouts but all my friends moved over to instagram, which is so much worse than facebook ever was IMO
People like Instagram over Facebook because it’s much, much harder to share links to ragebait on Instagram.
The secret sauce though is that one out of every 3 reels is ragebait. just a different kind that you cant get away from because you’re so addicted to the scroll feature
I used to think this until all of the recent blows they have had, such as the IAmA losses and Microsoft withdrawing their Minecraft support. With advertisers withdrawing and users leaving, I think they are going to have problems covering operating expenses in the near term that could lead to an implosion due to lack of funds.
Before all this started, Fidelity’s Reddit investment was devalued pretty heavily and they have had profitability issues. Tech companies in general are having investor problems due to interest rates so Reddit have problems is going to really scare away any risk-adverse investors. They have proven they cannot control their user base (which is good news for users) which scares advertisers away from content unfriendly to their interests. They just doubled their employees from like 1000 to 2000 in the past couple of years, which just adds astronomically to their operating expenses.
I think they make about $500 million in revenue and are still in the red. Even minor changes to this expense/income ratio can cause issues that make them suddenly insolvent with no one to bail them out.
What’s the Minecraft thing? I’m not on Reddit any more so missed that bit.
Minecraft devs left r/Minecraft and won’t use it as a source for news anymore. https://www.pcgamer.com/minecrafts-devs-exit-its-7-million-strong-subreddit-after-reddits-ham-fisted-crackdown-on-protest/
Good opportunity for them to host a separate instance with a Microsoft domain. That will contribute even more to their legitimately.
I have Wefwef now. I’m not lost, just on substitute.
What’s wefwef
https://wefwef.app
It’s like Apollo for Lemmy, I use it too. Sure there are some kinks to be ironed out and UX isn’t as smooth but I’m not going back to Reddit 😞
Well seems simple enough. You look at how many new users Lemmy got and subtract that from whatever reddit numbers are online. Only posters/commenters count for Lemmy activity, and the number of lurkers is likely several times bigger. Anyway so based on what I see online, Lemmy has about 50k active users, maybe up to 10x more lurkers. So like half a million users maybe. Reddit probably has 55 million users. So that’s still 11x bigger than Lemmy
So if I’m even remotely in the ballpark, Lemmy managed to grab like 1% of the reddit userbase & the management won the mainstream crowd as usual. Of course Lemmy isn’t ready for the volume and legal costs anyway
Loads of reddit refugees on tumblr, squabbles and Tildes too. Tumblr is fucking crawling with them/us at the moment.
50k very active users that try to have integrity is a pretty big deal. Because with that will come development of the platform, meanwhile Reddit is going to struggle with a new chapter of shitty moderation and decreased quality. There are also a lot of people burnt out on the issue and so I expect real numbers from the immediate to be more visible over the next month or two.
Plus, which instances are you looking at for those numbers? Are all the lemmy instances and kbin included in those numbers?
Let’s just assume that it’s going to be about 1% of reddit’s userbase. Does it matter which 1%? How will the platforms evolve? Because both are very different now than before, we’re seeing realtime changes across a lot of tech and the internet. A lot of faith was lost by the public in many platforms by the people at all paying attention, and a lot of hope was garnished by the successful move to new platforms.
Stuff is definitely changing. I’m curious what big tech is gonna do to try to restore faith, or if they’ll try to pretend nothing’s happened and try to sweep it under the rug. A lot of people already try to downplay the events into just numbers, but in reality, there are a LOT of eyes watching and waiting to see what happens. People are tired of the same old capitalist bullshit and want something better, it isn’t just ex/reddittors, it’s Twitter users, Linux users, Amazon users, Netflix users, students with debt, homeowners, and a LOT of young people. People want better and the messed up economic future is making people pay attention more than ever.
It’s all interwoven and something’s gotta give.
It very much does. The old metric was that 1% create, 10% comment, and the rest consume (I don’t think the metric included a number for moderator-types). I suspect most of the emigres have a heavier percentage of moderators, creators, and commenters. And I suspect it also contains a larger percentage of old-time redditors. While there are undoubtedly a bunch of people stepping into place on reddit right now, the loss of the people who left is going to hurt reddit.
That assumes people’s usage is all-or-nothing, though. I started using Lemmy and I now use reddit a lot less, but still use it for communities that don’t exist or aren’t active here. I don’t imagine I’m the only one in that boat.
Sadly we won’t know the amount of users Reddit lost with Reddit being willing to publicly admit how much they fucked up. Through info on user increase on Lemmy we’ll get an idea but it doesn’t mean those new users have completely stopped using Reddit.
You probably can’t judge the loss in user count anyway. 99% of the users never actively contribute anything, not even upvotes or so.
I tend to disagree. Most of the users that actually cared enough about the API changes to make the switch to Lemmy were powerusers. I think most casual lurkers use the official app anyway and didn’t care about the protests.
Yes, that’s what I meant. Reddit lost all the power users, which were just a small percentage of all users. So in numbers it doesn’t look too bad for reddit, but it actually is bad because they lost the good users which actually provide content.
Hell naw, I’m a lurker (on Reddit). I used Apollo because I’m an IT guy and I can’t stand ads.
I feel like I actually should start interacting here though, because I’m not being over spoken / silenced by AI bots and algorithms
Edit: I am already halfway to my number of updoots on my Reddit account of 7 years… it’s working! Be the change you want to see!
nevermind AIs, people will dogpile you and just generally be dicks over on that site even over something innocuous, and it’s great being somewhere that spectre isn’t hanging over your head
Yeah, sometimes I look over there to see how it’s doing, and the comments are even more toxic than I remembered. It’s undeniable that a large chunk of the people who left were the decent ones.
I can’t stand ads and scabs, and I feel like a scab if I open reddit now.
Hey, I’m a lurker and I used the official app (un-installed it the day I created an account on fedi, it was shit anyway). There’s still a moral ground attached to this. I don’t browse reddit anymore, and I did a final post in a niche community that I really like, a couple of weeks or so, in an attempt to lead them here, because I do miss that community and I contributed more there. There’s a bunch of good reasons people could stop using reddit, but imho what matters is that we build our communities in fedi and just forget about what happens to reddit.
I had an 8 year old account with a few hundred thousand karma, deleted it on July 1st once BaconReader went down.
Switching to Lemmy makes me want to participate even more and hopefully foster more people to join.
I had an active 11 year old account that I deleted.
The final straw for me was an interaction with a ham fisted admin these last few days. It really and honestly is a toxic environment there, and the admins are following the lead from Spez, so it’s deeply embedded into the culture.
I wonder if you could have sold those accounts. You get done money and Reddit gets worse. Win-win.
Hopefully you’re right about the majority, but I’m also a lurker and it took me a single day without Apollo filtering away the ads for me to delete my few posts, my account, and throw in my lot with all of you! Can’t stand liars.
Power users are the ones who build value on reddit, so with their loss the standard users will get less out of reddit over time and likely use it less.
All I can say is I was one of the technical users that asked obscure questions that had no relevant results when searching before posting, and I tried to answer any questions I could. I haven’t even visited reddit since the 9th of June and I never will visit it again. All of my searches on the internet include “-reddit” now too. I don’t care, fuck spez. My password was saved in Infinity, I don’t remember it, and I don’t want to. Whenever someone starts a class action lawsuit over CCPA I’ll file and join.
I disagree from what I’ve seen so far. Most of the discussions I’ve seen lately about newly migrated reddit users have been folks who were lurkers or mostly lurkers. I myself used to be active on reddit years ago, but have been a lurker for a good 6-7+ years now or so. I think you’re correct as of a few weeks ago when powerusers may have migrated earlier, but I think the migration post-API implementation has been a large amount of non-powerusers. Of course, users that are 100% casual, and don’t have accounts at all or only rarely used Reddit, and might not even be aware of what’s going on, those folks I’m sure didn’t really move.
Now I understand where the negativity came from from some redditors; Lemmy is really not lurker friendly, you can’t just browse All as easily and see quick dopamine hits.
This is anecdotal, but I was neither an app user or a moderator on reddit, but I decided to leave when Huffman became an ass to the mods. I think you underestimate the chance to protest against corporate assholes.
I expect it’s a low percentage of overall users. Many are using the official Reddit app and just complaining about it. Others have switched to surviving third party apps. Still others are strictly Old Reddit on desktop.
The moderator community have likely felt a greater hit.
Well you can take the knowledge that Lemmy.world grew 60% following it, look at current numbers for the server, and know at least around 60% of that number has shifted some of their media habits away from Reddit.
But the full picture is unknowable outside Reddit corporate.
Probably more than spez was anticipating though…
But probably not enough to make a bit immediate impact on Reddit. I’m more interested in long term impact, seeing if the people who left were big contributors, or just mostly lurkers
Don’t underestimate lurkers. They play a big role by upvoting, downvoting and reporting inappropriate content. They are the invisible force that keeps a website healthy and sane.
I Am Lurk.
By definition lurkers don’t do any of that. A lurker literally just looks at stuff
That user you described is still a contributor, you could perhaps call them a curator or something but they aren’t a lurker.
I feel seen
Indeed.
I shifted ALL my habits away from reddit. I deleted my account and have only used Lemmy this week. The first day I was scared, but the last 48 hours I have figured it out and there seems to be much more activity than there was on Monday.
Same here. 13 years and 3 months on Reddit, but deleted my account in the 1st of July, and switched to Lemmy. It has it’s challenges related to the federation, mostly I foresee confusion about users with same name, having to run multiple accounts and maintain multiple subscription lists for some purposes and ofc the current performance/resource issues, but so far it’s working out. I miss a few nice subreddits but hopefully they will arrive.
That’s a good question about users with the same name. I haven’t wanted to try other instances because I thought I’d need to think up multiple new usernames… But maybe I don’t? Interesting.
You can have the same name across multiple instances. I assume in the background there is a @yourinstance.tld as part of the name, but all the clients I’ve seen show just the initial part of it. I could see some impersonation and confusion issues.
Not only Lemmy but other instances and other sites as well. I know squabbles grew by quite a bit, beehaw grew, and so did Tildes. But unless we were able to gather information from everywhere, it’s impossible to know. What is heartening is that we do know that it was not an insignificant amount.
I‘m still using Reddit a tiny bit to search for some stuff with Google and I noticed an increase in deleted and overwritten comments in my results. Will be interesting to see how many that truly is, but I have a hunch it‘s the active users who commented and posted who were more likely to leave, so even if the total percentage is small, the percentage of original content has been hit hard.
Same thing. I knew people were doing it, but figured “what’s the chance it will happen to my searches?” turns out, a pretty reasonable chance.
I think it’s a good chunk but not enough to outright kill the site.
The shitshow that was Spez’s AMA certainly drove away a few users, but I think many more were hoping that they’d dial back the API changes at the eleventh hour to allow third-party apps to at least coexist.
What AMA? It was nothing more than 3-4 pre written comments that didn’t answer anything.
AMA means “ask me anything”
Not “ask only what I want to be asked”.
I didn’t fully quit reddit, but I’m going to Lemmy first and foremost and rarely go back to reddit for very specific communities. My reddit usage dropped by 90+% probably, but I’m not completely gone.
I’m sure the same is true for many other users as well, so simply counting the number of (active) users then and now won’t get even close to the actual loss in traffic and participation.
I haven’t gone back to Reddit yet, but I’m sure I will at sometime for, like you said, some of the smaller communities or something specific I may not be able to find here for now. I’ll stay here as much as I can though, I’m sure it will only improve.
Same here. Since I was an Apollo user, there’s no loss of revenue though, and I haven’t posted much, barely any loss of new content.
I quit reddit on my phone, and I’m never looking back. I’m still browsing Reddit with RES on my PCs though. So a drastic reduction in use.
Reddit feels like different now compared to a week ago. Browsing a new fresh site opened my eyes to how shit r/all are. Even with blocked subreddits a new hate fueled subreddit emerges every week.
This is not public information, you won’t know anything about that until the next quarterly reports. That being said if you go to the front page right now it seems pretty much like business as usual.
The quality of the obscure subs is dropping. Ironically, this is actually what is valuable to the LLMs.
The front page is mostly twitter and TikTok anyway.
To be fair, with a website as huge as reddit, a 25% or even 50% decrease in user activity probably won’t be that noticeable from someone like us. Instead of 2 million posts a day, it’s not now 1 million. Or instead of 500k, it’s 250k. None of those are knew we could feasibly differentiate.
Maybe if you sit on r/all and keep track of how fast new posts are moving, but even then, the algorithm may still just move the same number of posts up and down the main pages. So even then, it would be hard to tell if usage is down.
Now obviously there’s no way it’s down that much. It’s significantly lower. But I’m just saying even if we pretend that it was down that much, it would look like business as usual.
Also, either way, I’m still glad to find this place. It feels nicer and offers what I wanted in a way reddit couldn’t.
Yeah you’re right that it wouldn’t be immediately noticeable but just because a few thousands of us jumped to Lemmy doesn’t mean there is any significant change on reddit. I checked on my most active communities and all the usual suspects are there, posting and commenting as usual. The amount of people that left reddit are probably a fraction of a percent.
The real question is how many power users and moderators left, the first are the ones that produce the most content, the second are the ones that prevent the place turning into a shithole. If an important fraction of those left, it WILL impact the site.
Precisely, the importance is if the mods stick around or not.
One sub I was in the Mod basically said a few weeks ago ‘I’ve had it with this, no offense guys but just run it how you want from now on’I’m retiring’. The users didn’t turn it into a protest sub but somehow it’s worse than that because it’s repetitive and boring.
So there’s a few old hands sticking around but I doubt there’ll be new people joining it. And I think that will be true for a lot of unmoderated subs, they won’t all get full of porn and spam, they’ll just become much less interesting
A saw a post a while back commenting on how many upvotes it was taking to get onto the front page of r/all having dropped, but not sure if there is any way to see stats from before API changes now.
One of the people on (I think) modcoord noted that for years reddit has allowed moderators to look at traffic stats for their subreddit. And that the traffic stats are no longer available; the last day they could access was … June 30.
I’m sure that’s just a coincidence, though …
The other method was looking at how many people are “here now” in each sub
This is impossible to know. It is more important to see what Lemmy is getting more so than what Reddit is loosing. At least on the fediverse the number is realistic and not something for the shareholders.
Couldn’t agree more. People here need to be okay with the possibility that Reddit continues to be popular even though it will continue to be the same scummy company that treats its users like cattle. Those of us who care about that kind of stuff are a minority of the users. There are likely tens of thousands of people who lurk Reddit, click the ads, and don’t even know about the API debacle… and that’s okay, we should all let it go.
It’s hard to say, but assuming they all went to Lemmy, you can get an approximation from this site: https://the-federation.info/platform/73
The number of active Lemmy users seems to have increased by ~50k last month.
At least three: You, me, and some person who built this platform.
Disclaimer: It’s entirely possible two of the above individuals are bots.
There are no bots here, human.
Wait, could I be a bot too?? 😧
This statement is false
@IjonTichy Don’t think about it-don’t think about it-don’t think about it
@andxze @Mammal @CaptainBlagbird
Uh… True. I’ll go with true.
Good bot.